1/27/12 May Be Key Turn Date in Markets

In my proprietary timing analysis, 1/27/12 (+/- 1 trading day) appears to be an important window to be alert for a change in trend in stock indices, gold, silver, and the dollar.

Polarity is always a guess until you get to the date. My guess is stocks and metals will make a high and the dollar will make a low around the 27th, but they could easily be the opposite or fail to work entirely.

One thing to keep in mind is that cycles and other timing methods tend not to work well during periods of heavy market manipulation by central banks. Actually, most technical and sentiment indicators fail to work well during QE phases (with the possible exception of pure trend following methods). In other words, my confidence in this or any market call is diminished when the markets are not allowed to trade freely.

Kim Rice
1/22/12